Tuesday, October 11, 2016

Brian Decker believes he has a better process

Why are so many first round draftees washouts regardless of the sport? Former Green Beret Brian Decker offers his take.

An excerpt:

"... Joe Banner, the CEO of the Browns in 2012 and 2013, also wasn't a football guy, having come into the league with an economics degree and experience in business. He liked to think outside the box. For 15 years in the NFL, he'd tried to confront a confounding question: Why do 50 percent of all first-round draft picks fail? In his previous job as president of the Philadelphia Eagles, he commissioned a study revealing that teams rarely misevaluated raw talent. Scouts did their jobs well, in other words. Picks were failing because of something subtler and harder to grasp, much less predict: mental makeup. Banner saw an opportunity in simple math. If he could determine which half of potential first-round picks were up to the rigors of the NFL and then winnow the list to 10 or so prospects the Browns wanted, he could increase his odds of scoring an impact player from 50 percent to, say, 80 percent. "A huge competitive advantage," he says ..."

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